The Presidential Election and The Real Estate Market

Keeping Current Matters The Presidential Election and Its Impact on Housing

Every four years, as things start to heat up on the Campaign Trail, we get inquiries from our clients about what the election will mean for the market. It used the be the case here in Northern VA, that we would see a period of pausing, followed by a potential great transition and turnover of homes if a new party was elected to office.

Now that our economy in Northern VA is not solely reliant on the federal government, that is no longer the case. While we still have many government employees, government contractors and elected officials living here – we also have many large companies (for example tech firms), as well as many entrepreneurs and small business owners, many in the service industries.

CEO The Belt Team“If you’re thinking of buying or selling, give us a call, ” said Terry Belt, CEO of The Belt Team. We’ve been through every election cycle in Northern VA since 1972. In fact, a Presidential Election is part of what brought our family here from California. We’d be happy to share our expertise with you. Each Buyer and Seller faces a unique situation. And the conclusion about timing is not always black and white. Call us at (703) 242-3975.”

In the meantime, if you have been wondering about the market, you’ll want to read what our friends at Keeping Current Matters have to say. They gathered input and predictions from a variety of sources.


Every four years people question what effect the Presidential election might have on the national housing market. Let’s take a look at what is currently taking place. The New York Times ran an article earlier this week where they explained:

A growing body of research shows that during presidential election years — particularly ones like this when there is such uncertainty about the nation’s future — industry becomes almost paralyzed. A look at the last several dozen election cycles shows that during the final year of a presidential term, big corporate investments are routinely postponed, and big deals are put on the back burner.

The research is even more persuasive on the final year of an eight-year presidential term, when a new candidate inevitably will become president.

We are seeing this take form in the latest economic numbers. However, will this lead to a slowdown in the housing market? Not according to Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac or the National Association of Realtors.

The Impact on Housing Throughout 2016 : Let’s look at what has happened and what is projected to happen by these three major entities.

National Association of Realtors
“In spite of deficient supply levels, stock market volatility and the paltry economic growth seen so far this year, the housing market did show resilience and had its best first quarter of existing-sales since 2007.”

Freddie Mac
“Recent data darkened the growth outlook for the first quarter of 2016. However, despite the disappointing economic reports, we still forecast housing to maintain its momentum in 2016.”

Fannie Mae
“Consumers and businesses showed caution at the end of the first quarter…(but) Home sales are expected to pick up heading into the spring season amid the backdrop of declining mortgage rates, rising pending home sales and purchase mortgage applications, and continued easing of lending standards on residential mortgage loans.”

Bottom Line
Even during this election year, the desire to achieve the American Dream is greater than the fear of uncertainty of the next presidency.

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